股指期货将偏强震荡，黄金、白银、原油、玻璃、纯碱、PTA期货将偏弱震荡，氧化铝、PVC、苯乙烯期货将偏强震荡，集运欧线期货将震荡偏强

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Viewpoints Through macro - fundamental analysis and technical analysis using tools like the golden ratio line, horizontal line, and moving average, the report predicts the trend of today's (May 15, 2025) futures main contracts. Index futures are expected to oscillate strongly, while gold, silver, crude oil, glass, soda ash, and PTA futures are likely to oscillate weakly. Alumina, PVC, styrene futures, and container shipping index (European line) futures are predicted to oscillate strongly [1][2]. Summary by Related Catalogs 1. Futures Market Outlook - Index Futures: IF2506, IH2506, IC2506, and IM2506 are expected to oscillate strongly. Resistance and support levels are provided for each contract [2]. - Treasury Bond Futures: The ten - year T2506 and thirty - year TL2506 main contracts are likely to oscillate widely [2]. - Commodity Futures: Gold, silver, copper, rebar, hot - rolled coils, coking coal, glass, soda ash, and crude oil futures are expected to oscillate weakly. Aluminum, alumina, zinc, iron ore, PVC, styrene, and container shipping index (European line) futures are likely to oscillate strongly [2][3][4][6]. 2. Macro News and Trading Tips - Tariff Measures: China's counter - measures against US fentanyl tariffs remain effective. The US has adjusted tariffs on Chinese goods, canceling 91% of the tariffs and implementing 34% reciprocal tariffs, with 24% suspended for 90 days and 10% retained. The US has also adjusted the ad - valorem tax rate for small Chinese parcels and canceled a planned increase in the specific tax [7]. - Monetary Policy: China's central bank has cut the reserve requirement ratio by 0.5 percentage points for most financial institutions and 5 percentage points for auto finance companies and financial leasing companies, injecting about 1 trillion yuan of long - term liquidity into the market [8]. - Other Policies: Seven departments have jointly issued policies to promote science and technology finance. The National Development and Reform Commission has held a symposium for private enterprises, and the State Council has issued a legislative work plan [9]. 3. Commodity Futures - Related Information - Precious Metals: On May 14, international precious metal futures generally closed lower. COMEX gold futures fell 2.07% to $3180.70 per ounce, and COMEX silver futures fell 2.15% to $32.39 per ounce [11]. - Crude Oil: International oil prices weakened on May 14. US crude oil futures fell 1.23% to $62.89 per barrel, and Brent crude oil futures fell 1.23% to $65.81 per barrel [11]. - Other Commodities: Domestic commodity futures had mixed results on May 14. Energy and chemical products generally rose, while base metals mostly closed higher. The on - shore RMB against the US dollar weakened slightly, and the US dollar index rose slightly [12][13]. 4. Futures Market Analysis and Outlook - Index Futures: On May 14, index futures showed strong performance. A - shares also rose, with the Shanghai Composite Index regaining 3400 points. The market has rumors about account verification and fund positions, and insurance funds are expected to increase their allocation of CSI A500 index components [13][14][15][16]. - Treasury Bond Futures: On May 14, treasury bond futures closed lower across the board. The ten - year and thirty - year main contracts are expected to oscillate widely on May 15 [37][42]. - Commodity Futures: Each commodity futures contract's performance on May 14 is analyzed, and the trend for May 15 is predicted, including resistance and support levels [43][49][53] etc.