
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [5][6] Core Views - The company's performance in Q1 2025 met expectations, with total gaming revenue reaching HKD 10.94 billion, a year-on-year increase of 13.6% [5] - The company has seen a significant increase in market share, with VIP and mass market gaming revenue growing by 52.3% and 7.6% respectively [5] - The opening of the Capella hotel in early May is expected to attract high-end consumers, with over 50% of guests being direct VIP customers [5] - The company forecasts revenue growth for 2025-2027, with total revenue projected at HKD 48.27 billion in 2025, HKD 51.38 billion in 2026, and HKD 53.17 billion in 2027 [5][6] Financial Projections - Total revenue (in million HKD) for 2024A, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E is projected to be 43,432.0, 48,273.2, 51,381.2, and 53,165.0 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.7%, 11.1%, 6.4%, and 3.5% [6] - Adjusted property EBITDA (in million HKD) is expected to be 12,187.6 for 2024A, 14,248.0 for 2025E, 15,667.8 for 2026E, and 16,136.9 for 2027E, with growth rates of 28.3%, 31.4%, 11.1%, and 2.0% respectively [6] - The diluted earnings per share (in HKD) are projected to be 2.00 for 2024A, 2.65 for 2025E, 3.09 for 2026E, and 3.17 for 2027E [6] Market Data - The closing price of the stock is HKD 32.00, with a market capitalization of HKD 139,997 million [3][4] - The stock has a price-to-book ratio of 1.84 and a current EV/Adjusted Property EBITDA of 10.24 for 2024A, decreasing to 7.74 by 2027E [4][6]