CHINA DRAGON SECURITIES·2025-05-15 10:50Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the computer industry [4] Core Insights - The AI industry shows initial signs of high prosperity, with a notable quarterly turning point emerging [4] - The computer industry experienced stable revenue growth in 2024 and a significant profit rebound in Q1 2025, indicating a recovery trend [4][5] - The AI computing segment outperformed the overall industry in both revenue and profit growth, suggesting strong demand and market potential [4][39] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the total revenue of listed companies in the computer industry reached 1,249.943 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.81%, while Q1 2025 revenue was 280.665 billion yuan, up 16.49% year-on-year [4][18] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 15.521 billion yuan, down 51.90% year-on-year, but Q1 2025 saw a dramatic increase to 2.559 billion yuan, up 390.04% year-on-year [4][18] - The revenue growth rate for the AI computing segment in 2024 was 14.57%, with a Q1 2025 growth of 41.87%, while net profit growth was 13.26% for 2024 and 43.05% for Q1 2025 [4][39] AI Segment Insights - The AI application segment's revenue in 2024 was 76.829 billion yuan, growing 6.44% year-on-year, with Q1 2025 revenue reaching 16.147 billion yuan, up 12.41% [45] - The net profit for the AI application segment in 2024 was 3.493 billion yuan, a 2.66% increase, while Q1 2025 net profit was 24 million yuan, showing significant growth from a low base [47] Innovation and Domestic Substitution - The domestic substitution process is accelerating due to geopolitical uncertainties and policy support, with the information technology sector showing signs of recovery [5][55] - The revenue for the domestic innovation segment in 2024 was 337.841 billion yuan, a 20.53% increase, with Q1 2025 revenue at 90.585 billion yuan, up 43.54% [55] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the AI and domestic substitution themes, highlighting specific stocks such as Cambricon (688256.SH), Haiguang Information (688041.SH), and others across various segments [5][6]