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伟星新材(002372):Q1业绩承压,期待内需政策加码

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 14.2 CNY per share [2][8]. Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 performance showed revenue of 895 million CNY, a year-on-year decline of 10.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 114 million CNY, down 25.95% year-on-year. The decline is attributed to weak market demand and intensified industry competition [2][8]. - The report highlights a significant drop in investment income, which decreased by 295.63% year-on-year, primarily due to reduced fair value changes in financial assets held by a partnership [8]. - The company is expected to focus on enhancing its retail business and increasing market share in 2025-2026, with projected net profits of 1.077 billion CNY, 1.182 billion CNY, and 1.305 billion CNY for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][9]. Financial Summary - For 2025, the company is projected to have total revenue of 6.595 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth rate of 5.2%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be 1.077 billion CNY, reflecting a growth rate of 13.1% [4][9]. - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 0.68 CNY, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 17x for 2025, 16x for 2026, and 14x for 2027 [4][8]. - The company's total assets are projected to reach 6.797 billion CNY by 2025, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.2% [9].