Workflow
2025年4月城投债市场运行分析:融资审核趋严城投债发行、净融资均降,科创债等创新品种发行升温
Zhong Cheng Xin Guo Ji·2025-05-16 06:26

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The main policy tone is still "controlling new debts and resolving existing ones." The issuance and net financing of urban investment bonds have decreased, while the issuance of innovative varieties such as science and technology innovation bonds has increased [4][54][56]. - In the short - term, although the Sino - US tariff game has eased, the bond market will continue to fluctuate. It is recommended to allocate high - quality platform targets in strong regions, moderately extend the duration, and also pay attention to strong urban investment in key debt - resolving regions and new entities formed during the industrial transformation and integration of urban investment [6][9][49]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. April 2025 Urban Investment Bond Market Operation Characteristics - Issuance scale and net financing: The issuance scale of urban investment bonds decreased by 10.34% month - on - month to 554.27 billion yuan, with a net outflow of 75.279 billion yuan for two consecutive months. The approval rates of the exchange and the inter - bank market both decreased month - on - month. 21 provinces had net outflows, and the net outflow scale of economic powerhouses increased significantly [7][10][13]. - Innovative varieties: 22 innovative urban investment bonds were issued, with a total scale of 16.78 billion yuan. The issuance of science and technology innovation bonds increased significantly, with 12 bonds issued, totaling 9.02 billion yuan [20]. - Issuance term: The weighted average issuance term was 2.76 years, a decrease of 0.87 years month - on - month. The proportion of borrowing new to repay old remained above 90%, and 14 provinces reached 100%. Among the 10 key provinces, 9 had a 100% borrowing - new - to - repay - old ratio [23]. - Issuance interest rate and spread: The weighted average issuance interest rate was 2.43%, a decrease of 0.17 percentage points month - on - month; the weighted average issuance spread was 91.93BP, a narrowing of 5.43BP month - on - month [26]. - Overseas bonds: The issuance scale of overseas urban investment bonds increased by 25.44% month - on - month to 41.177 billion yuan, and the weighted average issuance interest rate rose to 5.57% [31]. - Yield and credit spread: The yield of urban investment bonds decreased overall. The credit spreads of key provinces mostly narrowed, while those of non - key provinces mostly widened [35]. 2. Credit Analysis - One urban investment enterprise had its credit rating upgraded. In April 2025, Orient Golden Credit upgraded the rating of Shanghai Northern Enterprise (Group) Co., Ltd. from AA+ to AAA [43]. - The number, scale, and frequency of abnormal transactions of urban investment bonds decreased. Guizhou had the largest abnormal transaction scale, and "20 Boshui 01" had the largest deviation [43][44]. 3. Maturity and Early Redemption - The maturity and put - option scale of urban investment bonds this year exceeded 3 trillion yuan. 129 urban investment enterprises redeemed bond principal and interest in advance, with a scale of 24.963 billion yuan, a decrease of 12.55% month - on - month [46]. 4. Strategy - Allocate high - quality platform targets in strong regions and moderately extend the duration. For medium - and short - term durations, focus on strong urban investment in regions with significant debt - resolution progress. Also, pay attention to new entities formed during industrial transformation and integration, but set an appropriate duration [6][9][49]. 5. Recent Policy and Hot Event Review - The policy emphasizes resolving existing debts and preventing new ones. The issuance of special refinancing bonds for debt replacement has exceeded 60%. The supervision of new hidden debts remains strict, and the support for science and technology innovation bonds has increased [6][50]. - At the local level, many places are accelerating the integration and transformation of state - owned enterprises and standardizing financing management [51].