环球市场动态：预期10年期美债利率仍将维持高位

Market Overview - Chinese market sentiment was low due to weak social financing data and US sanctions on Huawei, impacting tech stocks[3] - European markets opened lower but recovered, driven by better-than-expected manufacturing data in the Eurozone[3] - US stocks showed mixed performance; weak economic data initially led to a drop, but Powell's comments raised rate cut expectations, resulting in a four-day rise for the S&P 500[3] Fixed Income - US economic data weakness has reignited expectations for Fed easing, leading to a rebound in the bond market; 5-10 year Treasury yields fell over 10 basis points[4] - The 10-year US Treasury yield has risen above 4.4%, driven by strong economic data and Powell's signals against immediate rate cuts[6] - Short-term outlook suggests the 10-year yield will remain above 4.0% unless economic pressures increase or the Fed shifts to a dovish stance[6] Economic Indicators - April PPI in the US saw its largest decline in five years, while retail sales showed minimal growth, indicating economic slowdown[6] - The US housing market sentiment index fell to its lowest in 2023, reflecting ongoing economic challenges[6] Stock Performance - Major US indices showed varied results; the Dow Jones rose by 0.65% to 42,322.8, while the Nasdaq fell by 0.18% to 19,112.3[9] - Alibaba's revenue missed expectations, causing its stock to drop by 7.57%, impacting the performance of Chinese concept stocks[9] Commodity Prices - International oil prices fell due to concerns over increased supply from potential US-Iran nuclear agreements; NY crude oil closed at $61.62, down 2.42%[27] - Gold prices rebounded, closing at $3,226.6 per ounce, influenced by a weaker dollar and geopolitical tensions[27] Currency Movements - The US dollar index declined by 0.16% to 100.879, reflecting weak economic data and market sentiment[27] - The euro appreciated against the dollar, trading at 1.119, up 0.1%[26]