Dongxing Securities·2025-05-16 08:44Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [4] Core Insights - The domestic airline industry has shown a significant improvement in passenger load factors during the off-peak season, with a year-on-year increase of approximately 3.2% in April [2][28] - Spring Airlines has notably increased its capacity for domestic routes, with a year-on-year growth of 11.2% in April, indicating a strategic shift in focus towards domestic operations [2][20] - The overall capacity for domestic routes increased by 2.3% year-on-year, while international routes saw a substantial capacity increase of 26.5% year-on-year, primarily due to a low base from the previous year [3][50] Summary by Sections Domestic Routes - In April, the overall capacity for domestic routes among listed airlines remained stable compared to March, with a year-on-year increase of 2.3% [12][17] - Major airlines showed little change in capacity, but Spring Airlines significantly increased its domestic capacity, while Juneyao Airlines reduced its domestic capacity by 10.3% due to a shift towards international routes [2][13] - The overall passenger load factor for domestic routes improved by 0.8 percentage points month-on-month and by approximately 3.2 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a better supply-demand relationship [28][35] International Routes - The capacity for international routes increased by about 26.5% year-on-year in April, with a month-on-month increase of 3.6% [3][50] - The passenger load factor for international routes improved by 1.4 percentage points month-on-month and by 1.0 percentage point year-on-year, slightly exceeding expectations [3][50] - The report maintains a cautious outlook for international routes, anticipating continued pressure due to supply constraints from domestic route management [3][50] Airport Throughput - Major airports reported significant year-on-year increases in international passenger throughput, with Shanghai and Shenzhen airports showing growth rates of 24% and 38%, respectively [58][63] - Compared to 2019, international throughput at these airports has also shown recovery, with Shenzhen airport achieving 120% of its 2019 levels [58][63]