预计需求延续旺季不旺,淡季不淡
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES·2025-05-18 09:03

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for several key stocks in the construction materials sector, including Puhua Co., China Jushi, Beixin Building Materials, and Yuhua Co. [8] Core Insights - The construction materials sector is experiencing a mixed demand environment, with seasonal demand not significantly boosting activity, leading to a decline in stock performance [1][13] - The report highlights a significant increase in local government bond issuance, which is expected to alleviate fiscal pressure and potentially accelerate municipal engineering projects [2] - The glass market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, with a marginal improvement in demand observed since March 2025, but overall demand is expected to decline post-2025 [2][35] - The cement industry is in a bottoming phase, with companies increasing production cuts to stabilize prices, while the fiber glass market shows signs of recovery due to rising demand in the wind power sector [2][3][18] Summary by Sections Cement Industry Tracking - As of May 16, 2025, the national cement price index is 374.69 CNY/ton, down 0.5% week-on-week, while cement output increased by 7.48% to 3.5835 million tons [3][18] - The cement market is characterized by strong infrastructure demand but weak residential construction demand, leading to a "price for volume" strategy [18] Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass is 1306.73 CNY/ton, down 0.82% from the previous week, with inventory levels rising [35] - The market sentiment is pessimistic, with weak demand and declining prices affecting sales [35] Fiber Glass Industry Tracking - The fiber glass market is stabilizing after a price war, with demand from the wind power sector expected to increase significantly in 2025 [2][6] - The report recommends focusing on companies like China Jushi and Zhongcai Technology due to their growth potential [2] Other Construction Materials - The report emphasizes the importance of consumer building materials benefiting from favorable second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies [2] - Key stocks recommended include Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials, with a focus on companies with strong growth potential [2][8]