基础化工行业研究：贸易局势边际缓和，美国补库开启

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the chemical industry, with a recommendation for a defensive investment strategy due to ongoing market uncertainties [2][25]. Core Insights - The chemical market has seen an increase due to unexpected tariff reductions, with the Shenwan Chemical Index rising by 1.82%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 0.7% [2][10]. - The report highlights strong performance in military and robotics sectors, as well as stocks benefiting from tariff reductions [2]. - The easing of tariffs between China and the US, with a cancellation of 91% of additional tariffs, is expected to lead to a recovery in previously depressed export chains [2][3]. - Oil prices are projected to stabilize within a range, influenced by geopolitical factors and demand dynamics [2]. - The AI sector is showing significant growth, with major companies reporting substantial contributions from AI capabilities [2]. Summary by Sections Market Review - The Brent crude oil futures average price was $65.52 per barrel, up 5.6% from the previous week, while WTI futures averaged $62.58 per barrel, an increase of 5.98% [10]. - The basic chemical sector outperformed the index, while the petrochemical sector underperformed [10]. - The top three performing sub-industries were viscose (8.72%), polyester (8.63%), and coatings (6.3%) [11]. Recent Views from the Chemical Team - The tire industry is recovering with increased operating rates and demand, while raw material prices are rising [25]. - The sweetener market, particularly sucralose, is showing signs of improvement with stable pricing and reduced supply [26]. - The dye market remains stable, with steady pricing and normal production levels [27]. - The DMC market is experiencing upward price movement due to improved downstream demand [27]. Key Industry Information - The titanium dioxide market is under pressure due to weak demand and reduced production rates [28]. - The vitamin E market is facing downward price pressure, with significant fluctuations in pricing reported [29]. - The coal chemical sector is stabilizing, with coal prices under pressure but showing signs of bottoming out [38][39].