GEELY AUTO(00175) Soochow Securities·2025-05-18 10:45Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Geely Automobile [1] Core Views - Geely Automobile's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue of 72.5 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.5%, and a net profit of 5.67 billion yuan, up 263.4% year-on-year [7] - The company has announced plans to acquire all issued shares of Zeekr, further implementing the "Taizhou Declaration" to focus on its core automotive business and enhance resource utilization efficiency [7] - The report forecasts Geely's net profit for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 14.2 billion, 19.6 billion, and 27.1 billion yuan respectively, corresponding to P/E ratios of 11, 8, and 6 times [7] Financial Performance Summary - Total revenue projections for Geely are as follows: 179.846 billion yuan for 2023, 240.194 billion yuan for 2024, 302.055 billion yuan for 2025, 382.115 billion yuan for 2026, and 455.664 billion yuan for 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 21.06%, 33.56%, 25.75%, 26.51%, and 19.25% respectively [1] - The projected net profit for 2023 is 5.308 billion yuan, increasing to 16.632 billion yuan in 2024, then decreasing to 14.208 billion yuan in 2025, before rising to 19.579 billion yuan in 2026 and 27.100 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 0.91%, 213.32%, -14.57%, 37.80%, and 38.42% respectively [1] - The latest diluted EPS is projected to be 0.53 yuan for 2023, 1.65 yuan for 2024, 1.41 yuan for 2025, 1.94 yuan for 2026, and 2.69 yuan for 2027 [1] Market Data Summary - The closing price of Geely Automobile is 19.74 HKD, with a market capitalization of approximately 183.32 billion HKD [5] - The company has a price-to-book ratio of 2.09 and a debt-to-asset ratio of 65.83% [6]