汽车行业周报（20250512-20250518）：5月行业销量恢复，全年销量展望乐观-20250518

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive industry, with an optimistic outlook for annual sales growth [2][3]. Core Insights - The automotive industry experienced a recovery in sales in May, with an expected retail growth rate of 5.2% and a wholesale growth rate of 8.4% for the year. The demand for high-end brands priced above 200,000 yuan is anticipated to recover, with a forecasted wholesale growth rate of 31% for new energy passenger vehicles, providing a solid foundation for the performance of both complete vehicles and parts manufacturers [2][3]. Data Tracking - In April, the wholesale sales of passenger vehicles reached 2.22 million units, showing a year-on-year increase of 11.0% but a month-on-month decrease of 10.0%. The export sales of passenger vehicles were 430,000 units, with a year-on-year increase of 0.4% and a month-on-month increase of 5.0% [4][27]. - New energy vehicle sales in April were particularly strong, with BYD delivering 380,000 units (up 21% year-on-year), and other new players like Leap Motor and Xpeng showing significant growth [4][27]. - Traditional automakers also saw notable sales increases, with Geely's sales up 53% year-on-year in April [4][27]. - The average discount rate in early May was 7.2%, slightly down from the previous month but up 2.3 percentage points year-on-year [4][27]. Industry News - In April, the automotive production and sales reached 2.406 million and 2.359 million units, respectively, with year-on-year growth of 12.8% and 9.3%. New energy vehicles accounted for 36% of the market share in April [27]. - The report highlights significant developments such as the establishment of a special committee by Zeekr to evaluate a privatization proposal from Geely, and the launch of new models by major manufacturers like BYD [27][28]. - The automotive sector saw a weekly increase of 2.71%, ranking first among 29 sectors, with the passenger vehicle segment rising by 3.90% [9][29].