做强国内大循环——宏观周报

Domestic Macro Policy - The State Council emphasizes strengthening the domestic circulation to counter international uncertainties, focusing on long-term growth and stability[2] - Recent policies aim to enhance agricultural technology innovation and support urban renewal projects through increased central budget investments and special bonds[3] - A comprehensive financial policy package was announced, including a 0.5% reduction in the reserve requirement ratio and a 0.1% cut in policy interest rates, alongside an increase of CNY 300 billion in technology innovation loans[17] Consumption and Financial Regulation - Provinces are issuing consumption vouchers exceeding CNY 1 billion, targeting integrated domestic and foreign trade, and enhancing consumer potential through various channels[19] - Financial regulatory bodies are reinforcing support for capital markets, including a commitment to stabilize the market and encourage long-term investments, with a recent approval of CNY 600 billion for insurance fund investments[21] Trade Relations - Recent US-China trade negotiations have led to a reduction of 91% in tariffs, with both sides agreeing to suspend additional tariffs for 90 days[24] - The UK and US have reached a trade agreement, with the UK making concessions on agricultural imports in exchange for reduced tariffs on automotive exports[28] Overseas Macro Policy - The Federal Reserve maintains the federal funds rate at 4.25%-4.5%, citing increased uncertainty in economic outlook and inflation risks[27] - Global trade policies are evolving, with significant agreements being reached between the US and other nations, including India and Qatar, enhancing economic cooperation[29]