Investment Rating - The investment rating for the wind power industry is "Outperform the Market" [1] Core Views - The offshore wind power sector is progressing steadily with major projects expected to commence in the first half of 2025, and over 25GW of projects approved and awaiting bidding nationwide, indicating a record year for bidding in 2025. The average annual installed capacity for offshore wind during the 14th Five-Year Plan is expected to exceed 20GW, significantly surpassing the previous plan's levels. Onshore wind installations are projected to exceed 90GW in 2025, with stable main unit prices and cost reductions driving a rebound in profitability. The export of Chinese wind turbines is gaining momentum, with high growth in orders expected from 2025 to 2026, leading to significant profit elasticity in manufacturing. The profitability of components is expected to decline from 2022 to 2024 but is anticipated to recover in 2025 [4][5]. Summary by Sections Industry News - The wind power sector has seen a general increase in stock prices over the past two weeks, with the top three performing segments being complete machines (+3.1%), blades (+2.9%), and mooring systems (+1.7%). The top three individual stocks in terms of growth are Lixing Co. (+9.6%), Zhongcai Technology (+8.6%), and Guoda Special Materials (+7.9%) [3]. Market Performance - As of 2025, the cumulative publicly tendered capacity for wind turbines nationwide is 46.3GW (+75%), with onshore wind accounting for 36.8GW (+57%) and offshore wind for 9.6GW (+213%). The average winning bid price for onshore wind turbines (excluding towers) in 2025 is 1,774 CNY/kW. For 2024, the total publicly tendered capacity is expected to reach 107.4GW (+61%) [7][11]. Investment Recommendations - Four key areas to focus on include: 1) Leading companies in tower/pile production with high capacity and export potential; 2) Leading submarine cable companies with expected recovery and opening export markets; 3) Leading complete machine manufacturers with domestic profitability bottoming out and accelerating exports; 4) Component manufacturers with opportunities for simultaneous volume and profit growth in 2025. Recommended companies include Goldwind Technology, Oriental Cable, Guoda Special Materials, Zhongji United, Dajin Heavy Industry, Times New Materials, Hewei Electric, Riyue Co., and Sany Renewable Energy [5][6].
风电产业链周评(5月第3周)海上风电开工招标有序推进,关注二季度板块业绩弹性