Guoxin Securities·2025-05-18 16:00Investment Rating - The investment rating for the AIDC power equipment and grid industry is "Outperform the Market" (maintained rating) [1] Core Viewpoints - Domestic and international cloud service providers have significantly increased capital expenditures in Q1, indicating a rising investment sentiment in the domestic power grid [4] - The power equipment capacity can reach 3-5 times that of computing chips, with the supply and distribution market expected to reach 73 billion yuan by 2026 [4] - The AIDC power equipment sector has seen a general increase in stock prices, with lead-acid batteries, HVDC, and UPS showing the highest gains [4] - The industry is characterized by a long power transmission chain, with global giants like Eaton and Schneider having established strong product lines and solution capabilities, while domestic companies are gaining competitive advantages [4] - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for AIDC construction, with significant capital expenditures expected from major cloud providers [4] Summary by Sections AIDC Power Equipment - Major cloud companies like Tencent and Alibaba have ramped up their AI computing infrastructure investments, with Tencent's capital expenditure reaching 27.48 billion yuan, up 91% year-on-year, and Alibaba's at 24.612 billion yuan, up 121% [4][16] - The global data center's IT load is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 48% from 2024 to 2026 [4] - The AIDC power equipment sector is expected to benefit from the increasing demand for power supply equipment, including transformers and UPS systems [4] Grid Industry - In March 2025, the national power engineering investment reached 56.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.7% year-on-year, while the grid engineering investment was 52 billion yuan, an increase of 18.4% year-on-year [30] - The National Grid's investment in ultra-high voltage equipment is expected to see significant growth in 2025, with a projected annual investment exceeding 650 billion yuan [4] - The bidding results for the National Grid's transmission and transformation equipment show a total bid amount of 17.636 billion yuan, an increase of 12.7% year-on-year [60]