LEAD INTELLIGENT(SZ:300450) NORTHEAST SECURITIES·2025-05-19 00:30Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking the first coverage of the stock [3][7]. Core Insights - The company's overseas business is experiencing rapid growth, with revenue expected to reach 2.831 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 26.31%, accounting for 23.88% of total revenue [1][3]. - The company has made significant advancements in solid-state battery production lines, launching a comprehensive solution in 2024 that covers key manufacturing processes [2][3]. - Financial indicators show improvement, with a projected revenue of 15.073 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.256 billion yuan for 2025, indicating a recovery from previous losses [3][5]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, founded in 2002, specializes in high-end non-standard intelligent equipment, focusing on lithium battery equipment and intelligent logistics systems [20][26]. - It has established itself as a leading provider of high-end lithium battery equipment and solutions, serving major clients like Tesla and BYD [26][30]. Financial Analysis - In 2024, the company expects a revenue of 11.855 billion yuan, a decline of 28.71% from the previous year, primarily due to a downturn in the lithium battery sector [30]. - The gross margin for the lithium business remains stable at 38.9%, reflecting strong profitability despite market fluctuations [31][32]. - The company reported a net profit of 286 million yuan in 2024, down 83.88% year-on-year, but is expected to recover with a projected profit of 1.256 billion yuan in 2025 [3][32]. Market Analysis - The global liquid lithium battery industry is experiencing a shift, with domestic markets stabilizing while overseas markets grow rapidly [59][66]. - China's penetration rate for new energy vehicles has increased significantly, providing a strong growth driver for the industry [68][89]. - The competitive landscape is evolving, with a decrease in market concentration and an increase in new entrants, benefiting companies with flexible and customized equipment solutions [80][82]. Solid-State Battery Development - The company is at the forefront of solid-state battery technology, with plans to launch a complete production line solution in 2024 [2][26]. - This technology is expected to enhance production efficiency and meet the growing demand for advanced battery solutions [2][3]. Order and Cash Flow Management - The company has seen a decline in sales from its top five customers, indicating a diversification in its client base [49]. - Contract liabilities have shown marginal improvement, reflecting a recovery in domestic and international order acquisition capabilities [49][56].