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中银晨会聚焦-20250519
Bank of China Securities·2025-05-19 01:51

Group 1: Key Insights - The mechanical equipment industry is experiencing profit pressure in 2024 due to insufficient downstream demand and investment intensity, but signs of weak recovery are observed in Q1 2025, with financial indicators improving [2][7][8] - The overall revenue for the mechanical equipment sector in 2024 was CNY 1,999.57 billion, a year-on-year increase of 4.99%, while net profit decreased by 8.07% to CNY 105.31 billion [8] - In Q1 2025, the mechanical equipment industry achieved revenue of CNY 454.01 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.16%, and net profit of CNY 32.81 billion, up 24.44% year-on-year [8] Group 2: Subsector Performance - In 2024, the engineering machinery sector showed a bright performance with a revenue increase of 2.99% to CNY 357.23 billion, while other subsectors faced profit pressure [9] - For Q1 2025, the engineering machinery sector continued its growth trend with revenue of CNY 96.44 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.62%, and net profit up 31.15% [9] Group 3: Electronic Sector Insights - The company reported a total revenue of CNY 3.693 billion in 2024, a decrease of 14.22% year-on-year, with net profit dropping by 67.72% to CNY 246 million [11][12] - In Q1 2025, the company’s revenue fell by 8.17% to CNY 861 million, and net profit decreased by 18.76% to CNY 80 million [14] Group 4: AI and Computing Demand - Major North American tech giants are significantly increasing their capital expenditures, with a combined CAPEX guidance exceeding USD 320 billion for 2025, reflecting a 43% increase from 2024 [4][16] - The demand for AI computing power is expected to rise, driven by the integration of AI technologies into various business models, leading to sustained high global computing demand [18]