后明星时代公募基金研究系列之四:公募基金高质量发展行动方案如何影响基金经理行为和资金配置?
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities·2025-05-19 03:42
- Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The "Action Plan" is long - term oriented, and its short - term impact on the market may be overestimated. Its specific terms have a long - term impact on fund managers' behavior and funds, and the short - term market impact is mainly emotional [2][6]. - In the long run, the index enhancement of active equity funds is a major development trend. The active equity investment betting on a single track may decline, and floating - fee products put forward higher requirements for active equity investment to approach the benchmark [2]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Policy Focuses on the Long - Term, and Short - Term Impact on the Market May Be Overestimated - Future public funds may adjust performance benchmarks according to actual investment characteristics rather than simply approaching existing benchmarks. The current calculation method overestimates the amount of position - adjustment funds [6]. - The three - year relative benchmark - 10% constraint is relatively mild. Fund managers don't need to significantly adjust their positions in the short term. In the three - year dimension, the possibility of correct and implemented active judgments by active equity fund managers increases significantly [7][9]. - The "Action Plan" emphasizes long - term assessment, which protects fund managers' long - term investment decisions and encourages them to take a long - term perspective in investment decisions [15]. 3.2 Long - Term Impact: Index Enhancement of Public Funds Is a Major Trend 3.2.1 Active Investment Betting on Sub - Tracks May Decline - The three - year performance benchmark - 10% constraint may force track - type fund managers to adjust their investment characteristics in the long term. Short - term volatile sub - industries are difficult to outperform broader benchmarks in the three - year dimension [18]. - The "Action Plan" also includes investor return assessment, which will make it difficult for the "business model" of high - volatility single - track products to continue. The active equity investment model of betting on tracks may gradually decline [20][21]. 3.2.2 Floating - Fee Products Are a Real Test for Active Equity Investment to Approach the Benchmark - The "Action Plan" proposes new floating - fee products, which are required to account for no less than 60% of new products. If these products are open - ended funds, they will pose a real challenge to active equity investors to approach the benchmark [23]. - Since fund managers cannot control investors' subscription and redemption behaviors, their optimal decision is to closely follow the benchmark to create excess returns, which puts forward higher requirements for active equity fund managers [24][27].