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AVIC Securities·2025-05-19 04:25

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight," indicating that the growth level of the industry is expected to be higher than that of the CSI 300 index over the next six months [3][40]. Core Views - The securities sector has shown a positive performance, with a weekly increase of 2.18%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 1.07 percentage points and the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.42 percentage points. The current price-to-book (PB) ratio for the brokerage sector is 1.33, which is near the 20th percentile of 2020, indicating a historical low valuation [1]. - The recent modifications to the "Major Asset Restructuring Management Measures" by the CSRC aim to enhance market vitality, with significant increases in the scale and activity of mergers and acquisitions since the introduction of the "Six Merger Policies." The number of disclosed asset restructurings has exceeded 1,400, with over 600 planned this year, representing a 1.4 times increase from the same period last year [2]. - The insurance sector has also performed well, with a weekly increase of 3.38%, surpassing the CSI 300 index by 2.46 percentage points. The release of the "Insurance Institutions' Elderly Service Standards" aims to improve services for elderly clients, providing a unified standard for insurance institutions [7][8]. Summary by Sections Securities Weekly Data Tracking - The brokerage sector's performance is highlighted by a 2.18% increase, with a PB ratio of 1.33, indicating a low valuation [1]. - The restructuring measures have led to a significant increase in the number of asset restructurings and the total transaction amount, which has reached over 200 billion yuan, marking an 11.6 times increase compared to the same period last year [2][6]. Insurance Weekly Data Tracking - The insurance sector's performance is characterized by a 3.38% increase, with the release of new service standards aimed at enhancing the experience for elderly clients [7][8]. - The current uncertainties in the insurance sector are primarily related to pressures on the asset side, with future valuation recovery dependent on the performance of the bond, equity, and real estate markets [8]. Industry Dynamics - The report emphasizes the encouragement of industry consolidation through regulatory support, suggesting that mergers and acquisitions are effective means for brokerages to achieve external growth and enhance overall competitiveness [6]. - Recommendations include focusing on firms with strong comprehensive capabilities and long-term investment strengths, such as China Ping An and China Life [8].