航运衍生品数据日报-20250519

Group 1: Report Summary - The report is about shipping derivatives data and the market situation of EC shipping futures [4][5][9] Group 2: Shipping Rate Index - The current values of Shanghai Export Container Freight Index (SCFI), China Export Container Freight Index (CCFI), SCFI - US West, SCFIS - US West, SCFI - US East, and SCFI - Northwest Europe are 1345, 1106, 2347, 1455, 3335, and 1161 respectively, with daily changes of 0.32%, -1.31%, 3.30%, 10.19%, 1.58%, and -3.25% [5] - The current values of SCFIS - Northwest Europe and SCFI - Mediterranean are 1303 and 2089 respectively, with daily changes of -5.54% and 0.00% [5] Group 3: Shipping Futures - The current values of EC2506, EC2508, EC2510, EC2512, EC2602, and EC2604 are 1685.0, 2280.0, 1445.0, 1595.0, 1419.5, and 1241.7 respectively, with daily changes of -5.72%, -3.36%, -1.34%, -1.01%, -2.04%, and -2.47% [5] - The current values of EC2506, EC2508, EC2410, EC2412, EC2602, and EC2604 positions are 34207, 48759, 23558, 5138, 3214, and 3463 respectively, with daily changes of -4355, 245, -898, 34, -80, and 8 [5] - The current values of the 10 - 12, 12 - 2, and 12 - 4 spreads are 835.0, -150.0, and 353.3 respectively, with daily changes of -59.6, -3.5, and 15.3 [5] Group 4: Market News - China will reduce tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% for 90 days, and the US will reduce tariffs on Chinese goods from 145% to 30% for 90 days [6] - US President Trump said that the US may unilaterally set new tariff rates for many trading partners in the next two to three weeks [7] - Hamas and Israel held a new round of cease - fire negotiations in Doha [8] - The US reduced the tariff on small parcels from 120% to 54% [8] Group 5: Market Analysis and Strategy - The EC market showed a downward trend with a divergence between near and far months [9] - The average price of May spot remained between 1700 - 1800 $/FEU, with a slight decline compared to early May [9] - Affected by the news of China - US tariff negotiations and the recovery of demand on the US route, airlines collectively tried to raise the freight rate on the European route in June to 3200 $/FEU, except for Maersk, which quoted 1800 $/FEU until mid - June [9] - The market rose rapidly due to the better - than - expected news of the first China - US tariff negotiation in Switzerland and the airlines' simultaneous increase of June freight rates. After filling the gap, short - term positive factors were exhausted, and the near - month contract fell on Friday [9] - The strategy is to gradually take profits on long positions and arbitrage [9]