WANFENG AUTO WHEEL(SZ:002085) Guoyuan Securities·2025-05-19 08:30Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 16.67 yuan per share [4][7]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 reached 16.264 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.35%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 653 million yuan, a decrease of 10.14% [1]. - The company effectively controlled expenses, with sales, management, R&D, and financial expense ratios decreasing by 0.19, 0.43, 0.22, and 1.01 percentage points respectively [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.567 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.75%, and a net profit of 275 million yuan, up 21.29% [1]. Revenue and Profitability - The lightweight metal components business generated revenue of 13.450 billion yuan in 2024, a slight increase of 0.09%, indicating stable operational performance [2]. - The general aviation aircraft manufacturing business saw revenue of 2.814 billion yuan in 2024, reflecting a growth of 1.62% [2]. - The company has a robust order backlog in the general aviation sector, particularly for high-value MPP special-purpose aircraft models [2]. Future Growth Potential - The acquisition of core assets from Volocopter positions the company to lead in the eVTOL market, with ongoing efforts to meet stringent aviation safety standards [3]. - The low-altitude economy is expected to commercialize around 2028, and the company has been actively developing its general aviation business since 2020, aiming to be a key player in this emerging market [3]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 17.812 billion, 19.332 billion, and 20.562 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 1 billion, 1.165 billion, and 1.301 billion yuan [4][6]. - Corresponding EPS for these years are forecasted to be 0.47, 0.55, and 0.61 yuan per share, with PE ratios of 35, 30, and 27 times [4].