Zhongyuan Securities·2025-05-19 09:21Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the computer industry relative to the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index [1][4]. Core Insights - The report highlights significant developments in the domestic AI chip sector, particularly the upcoming launch of the Harmony PC and the acceleration of AI applications, which are expected to drive growth in cloud computing and related services [3][4][60]. - The report notes a clear trend of increasing investment in AI and cloud computing, with major companies like Meta raising their investment forecasts for generative AI [4][18]. - The report emphasizes the ongoing challenges posed by international export controls on AI chips, particularly affecting Chinese companies, while also noting the potential for domestic manufacturers to benefit from these restrictions [3][4][38]. Summary by Sections Industry Data - In Q1 2025, the software industry saw a revenue increase of 10.6% year-on-year, reaching 3.15 trillion yuan, with profits rising by 11.6% to 372.6 billion yuan [12][13]. - The IC design sector experienced a growth rate of 19.7%, making it the highest-performing sub-industry in the software sector [17]. Domestic Developments - The report discusses the impact of U.S. export controls on AI chips, which have led to increased uncertainty for domestic server ecosystems [26][30]. - The launch of the Harmony PC on May 19 is highlighted as a significant step towards the localization of operating systems in China [56][58]. AI Sector - The demand for AI applications surged in Q1 2025, with the daily token usage of the Doubao large model reaching 12.7 trillion, a 318% increase from December 2024 [63]. - The upcoming release of the DeepSeek-R2 model, which boasts 1.2 trillion parameters, is expected to be a focal point in the AI market [72]. Computing Power - The report notes a clear differentiation in performance among data center providers, with traditional IDC competition intensifying while AIDC is rapidly growing [4][18]. - Major tech companies are projected to continue their aggressive investment strategies in AI and cloud computing, with Meta increasing its investment range for 2025 to between 64 billion and 72 billion USD [4][18].