Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry. Core Insights - The paper finds that stronger firm digitalization is associated with higher tax revenues across countries, with a one-standard-deviation increase in firm digitalization linked to an increase in tax revenues-to-GDP by up to 3 percentage points, conditional on the level of digitalization of tax administration (GovTech) [3][12][17] - Firm digitalization significantly improves tax compliance among high-risk taxpayers, such as small and informal enterprises, particularly in the service sector, indicating that digitalization broadens the corporate tax base and enhances compliance [3][12][14] - There is a significant synergy between firm digitalization and GovTech, underscoring the importance of promoting both to enhance tax collection [3][12][14] Summary by Sections Introduction - The benefits of government digitalization (GovTech) for tax collection have been well acknowledged, with empirical studies showing that digitalizing tax administration can enhance revenue collection significantly [9] - The relationship between firm digitalization and tax revenues remains largely unexplored, necessitating further research to understand its potential impact on tax collection [10][11] Literature Review - A long-standing literature documents benefits from firm digitalization, including higher growth and resilience to shocks, but the impact on tax revenues is less understood [16][18] - Policies to foster firm digitalization include upgrading internet infrastructure and promoting IT skills, which are essential for enhancing tax compliance [19] Empirical Analyses - The report employs both country-level and firm-level analyses to investigate the relationship between firm digitalization and tax revenues [21][22] - Country-level evidence shows that countries with stronger firm digitalization have higher tax revenues, with a strong positive correlation between business digitalization and tax revenues [23][28] - Firm-level evidence indicates that firm digitalization is associated with a higher probability of paying taxes and larger tax payments, particularly in emerging markets and developing economies [49][58] Conclusions - The findings suggest a dual approach of promoting both GovTech and firm digitalization to enhance tax revenues, highlighting that investments in digitalization will yield future tax revenue increases [14][15]
利用数字技术促进税收征管(英)2025
IMF·2025-05-19 10:30