中美关税博弈下的香港：挑战与对策

Group 1: Impact of US-China Tariff War on Hong Kong - The US-China tariff war has significantly impacted Hong Kong's role as a transshipment hub, with re-export volumes expected to decline due to tariff pressures. In 2024, exports to the US are projected to reach HKD 295.6 billion, accounting for 6.5% of total exports, with approximately 90% being re-exports [1][11][24] - The logistics of cross-border e-commerce have faced challenges due to the US imposing restrictions on duty-free privileges for small parcels, which has exposed vulnerabilities in Hong Kong's logistics framework [11][24] - There has been a notable trend of foreign capital outflows and a reduction in regional headquarters in Hong Kong, with the number of multinational regional headquarters reaching an 11-year low in 2023 [6][9][24] Group 2: Offshore RMB Business Hub - Hong Kong is positioned as a leading offshore RMB business hub, with the RMB's share in global reserves at 3.6%, making it the only major reserve currency showing consistent growth [2][25] - The RMB clearing and settlement network in Hong Kong handles over 70% of global cross-border RMB payments, with CIPS processing RMB payments amounting to 175 trillion yuan in 2024, a 43% increase year-on-year [15][25] - As of 2023, offshore RMB deposits in Hong Kong have approached HKD 1 trillion, representing about 60% of global offshore RMB deposits [16][25] Group 3: Trade Network Upgrades - Hong Kong is enhancing its trade network by strengthening ties with ASEAN and the Middle East, with exports to ASEAN growing by 18% in 2024, making it Hong Kong's second-largest export market [3][26] - The region is optimizing its supply chain by deepening industrial collaboration with Pearl River Delta cities, promoting high-tech, finance, and logistics sectors [3][26] - Hong Kong aims to maintain its status as an independent customs area while promoting a high-value, innovation-driven economic model [3][26] Group 4: Elevating Financial Hub Status - Hong Kong ranks third in the Global Financial Centre Index (GFCI), with efforts to attract domestic and foreign companies to list in the region [4][19][27] - The city is optimizing its tax and regulatory environment for fund and asset management, increasing support for long-term capital investments and green funds [4][19][27] - Initiatives to enhance fintech competitiveness include scaling smart investing and digital wealth tools, alongside optimizing talent and immigration policies to attract global financial professionals [4][19][27]