大市值+科技成长“杠铃”配置——ETF主观配置策略月报（四）

Market Overview - A-shares have entered a new phase with external disturbances easing, showing support below and awaiting catalysts above[2] - The market is expected to exhibit a volatile trend in the short term, with economic growth remaining stable despite marginal declines in production, consumption, and investment growth rates[2] - In April, the GDP growth rate was 1% YoY, while the CPI and PPI showed deflationary trends at -0.1% and -2.7% respectively[6] Investment Strategy - The recommended investment strategy is a "barbell" approach focusing on "large-cap + technology growth" sectors[2] - Suggested ETFs include large-cap indices like the CSI 300 and defensive dividend ETFs, which are expected to benefit from increased public fund allocations[3] - Key sectors for investment include self-sufficiency in technology, AI, and robotics, with a focus on ETFs that track these themes[2] ETF Recommendations - The following ETFs are highlighted for investment: - Huaxia CSI 50 ETF with a scale of 1649.7 million RMB[4] - Huatai-PB CSI 300 ETF with a scale of 3800.7 million RMB[4] - E Fund CSI Artificial Intelligence ETF with a scale of 163.2 million RMB[4] - Guotai CSI Semiconductor Materials and Equipment ETF with a scale of 22.8 million RMB[4] Economic Indicators - The total social financing increased by 11,591 million RMB in April, with a year-on-year growth rate of 8.7%[6] - Fixed asset investment showed a cumulative year-on-year growth of 4.0%, while real estate development investment declined by 10.3% YoY[6] Risk Factors - Potential risks include slower-than-expected economic recovery, policy implementation delays, geopolitical risks, and uncertainties surrounding overseas interest rate cuts and trade policies[4]