Workflow
广东136号文细则征求意见,增量机制电量不超过90%,海风、其他风电、光伏分类竞价
Soochow Securities·2025-05-20 03:41

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing consultation on the detailed rules of Document No. 136 in Guangdong, which sets a cap on the incremental mechanism electricity volume at 90%. Different types of renewable energy will be auctioned separately, with the first auction scheduled for mid-2025 [4]. - China Securities Regulatory Commission has approved Huadian New Energy's IPO application, aiming to raise 18 billion yuan for renewable energy projects [4]. - The report tracks key industry data, including a 3% year-on-year decrease in electricity purchase prices in May 2025, a 2.5% increase in total electricity consumption in the first quarter of 2025, and a 0.3% decrease in total power generation during the same period [4][39][14]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW utility index increased by 0.08% from May 12 to May 16, 2025, with notable gains in solar and hydropower sectors [9]. - The top-performing stocks included Jingyuntong (+34.3%) and Hongtong Gas (+22.0%), while the worst performers were Mindong Power (-7.0%) and Huadian Energy (-7.8%) [10]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in Q1 2025 reached 2.38 trillion kWh, a 2.5% year-on-year increase, with growth in all sectors [14]. 2.2. Power Generation - Total power generation in Q1 2025 was 2.27 trillion kWh, down 0.3% year-on-year, with declines in thermal power and increases in hydropower, nuclear, wind, and solar [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average electricity purchase price in May 2025 was 394 yuan/MWh, a 3% decrease year-on-year [39]. 2.4. Thermal Power - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 614 yuan/ton, down 28.6% year-on-year [43]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was normal, with inflow and outflow decreasing by 21.3% and 27.6% year-on-year, respectively [51]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 nuclear units were approved, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the sector [22]. 2.7. Green Energy - The report emphasizes the recovery of asset quality in green energy, with a focus on companies like Longjing Environmental Protection [4]. 3. Important Announcements - The report includes significant announcements regarding the approval of IPOs and regulatory changes affecting the utility sector [4].