Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights the ongoing consultation regarding the detailed implementation of Document No. 136 in Guangdong, which includes a bidding mechanism for new energy projects with a maximum electricity scale of 90% [4]. - China Securities Regulatory Commission has approved Huadian New Energy's IPO application, aiming to raise 18 billion yuan for renewable energy projects [4]. - The report tracks key industry data, including a 3% year-on-year decrease in electricity purchase prices and a 2.5% increase in total electricity consumption in the first quarter of 2025 [4][39]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The SW utility index increased by 0.08% from May 12 to May 16, 2025, with notable performances in solar and hydropower sectors [9]. - The top five gainers included Jingyuntong (+34.3%) and Hongtong Gas (+22.0%), while the biggest losers were Mindong Power (-7.0%) and Huadian Energy (-7.8%) [10]. 2. Electricity Sector Tracking 2.1. Electricity Consumption - Total electricity consumption in Q1 2025 reached 2.38 trillion kWh, a 2.5% year-on-year increase, with growth in all sectors [14]. 2.2. Power Generation - Cumulative power generation in Q1 2025 was 2.27 trillion kWh, down 0.3% year-on-year, with declines in thermal power generation [22]. 2.3. Electricity Prices - The average electricity purchase price in May 2025 was 394 yuan/MWh, down 3% year-on-year [39]. 2.4. Thermal Power - The price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 614 yuan/ton, down 28.6% year-on-year [43]. 2.5. Hydropower - The water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 156.81 meters, with inflow and outflow rates down 21.3% and 27.6% year-on-year, respectively [51]. 2.6. Nuclear Power - In 2024, 11 nuclear units were approved, indicating a positive growth trajectory for the sector [22]. 2.7. Green Energy - Wind and solar power installations saw a year-on-year increase of 30.5% and a decrease of 5.7%, respectively, in Q1 2025 [4]. 3. Investment Recommendations - Focus on investment opportunities in hydropower and thermal power during peak summer demand [4]. - Recommended stocks include Jiangsu Power, Huadian International, and China Nuclear Power [4].
公用事业行业跟踪周报:广东136号文细则征求意见,增量机制电量不超过90%,海风/其他风电/光伏分类竞价
Soochow Securities·2025-05-20 03:23