Dongxing Securities·2025-05-20 06:43Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for China Shenhua [5][13] Core Views - China Shenhua demonstrates resilience in its coal-electricity integrated operations, with a commitment to high cash dividends reflecting strong returns [12][13] - The company is expected to see stable performance from its electricity sales and ongoing growth in coal production capacity due to new projects [13] Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of CNY 338.375 billion, a decrease of 1.4% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of CNY 58.671 billion, down 1.7% year-on-year [1] - For Q1 2025, operating revenue was CNY 69.585 billion, a decline of 21.1% year-on-year, with a net profit of CNY 11.949 billion, down 18.0% year-on-year [1] Coal Division Summary - In 2024, the coal production volume reached 327 million tons, an increase of 0.8% year-on-year, while coal sales volume was 459 million tons, up 2.1% year-on-year [2] - The average selling price of coal (excluding tax) was CNY 564 per ton, a decrease of 3.4% year-on-year [2] - The coal division's revenue was CNY 268.618 billion, down 1.7% year-on-year, with total profit of CNY 54.365 billion, a decrease of 7.1% year-on-year [2] Power Generation Division Summary - In 2024, the power generation business showed resilience with a sales volume of 2,102.8 billion kWh, an increase of 5.3% year-on-year, although the average selling price decreased by 2.7% [3] - For Q1 2025, total power generation and sales volume decreased by 10.7% year-on-year, with total profit of CNY 2.625 billion, down 17.2% year-on-year [4] Transportation and Coal Chemical Divisions Summary - The transportation division achieved a turnover of 3,121 billion ton-km in 2024, a growth of 0.9% year-on-year, with revenue of CNY 43.115 billion, up 0.4% year-on-year [4] - The coal chemical division reported revenue of CNY 5.633 billion in 2024, down 7.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 5.8%, a decrease of 5.4 percentage points [11] Future Outlook - The company plans to invest CNY 1.1 billion in new coal mining projects, expected to yield a production capacity of 16 million tons per year [12] - High cash dividends are expected to continue, with a proposed dividend of CNY 2.26 per share, totaling CNY 44.903 billion, representing 76.5% of net profit attributable to shareholders [12]