GEM(002340) 中银国际·2025-05-20 12:48Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for the company [4][6]. Core Views - The company's nickel resource competitiveness is continuously enhancing, and the recycling business is experiencing rapid growth, which is expected to become a new profit growth point for the company [4]. - The report adjusts the earnings forecast for 2025-2027, with projected earnings per share of RMB 0.33, 0.47, and 0.63 respectively, reflecting a downward adjustment due to falling nickel prices [6]. - The company reported a year-on-year increase in net profit for both the 2024 annual report and the 2025 Q1 report, indicating strong operational performance [9]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved a revenue of RMB 33,200 million, a year-on-year growth of 8.75%, and a net profit of RMB 1,020 million, up 9.19% [9][10]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of RMB 9,496 million, a 13.67% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of RMB 511 million, reflecting a 12.10% growth [11]. Revenue and Profit Growth - The company's main business revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of RMB 42,174 million in 2025, representing a 27.0% growth rate [8]. - The EBITDA is expected to reach RMB 5,861 million in 2025, indicating strong operational efficiency and profitability [8]. Nickel Resource and Recycling Business - The company has successfully launched several production lines for nickel and battery materials, enhancing its competitive position in the nickel resource and new energy materials industry [9]. - The recycling business, particularly in lithium battery recovery, has shown substantial growth, with a 31% increase in battery recovery volume in 2024 [9]. Valuation Metrics - The report provides a valuation with a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.0 for 2025, reflecting the company's growth potential despite the adjustments in earnings forecasts [6][8].