Orient Securities·2025-05-21 00:30Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the electricity industry, suggesting it is entering a phase of high prosperity due to policy catalysts and fundamental improvements [2][11]. Core Insights - The implementation of the capacity price mechanism starting in 2024 is expected to restructure the revenue model for coal power companies, reducing reliance on energy sales and stabilizing income expectations [11][21]. - The auxiliary service market mechanism has been officially released, accelerating the construction of the spot market, which will support high-quality development in the electricity sector [12]. - Overall electricity demand is recovering, with a reported increase in national electricity consumption of 4.28% year-on-year as of March 2025, indicating a positive trend for the industry [13]. - Hydropower generation is expected to improve due to favorable water conditions, while coal-fired power plants are experiencing reduced fuel cost pressures, enhancing profitability [15][17]. Summary by Sections 1. Policy Catalysts and Fundamental Resonance - The capacity price mechanism will optimize the profit model for coal power, ensuring sustainable operation [11]. - The auxiliary service market will provide new revenue channels for electricity companies, enhancing income diversity [12]. - Electricity demand is on the rise, supporting industry prosperity [13]. 2. Investment Value Analysis of the CSI All-Share Power Index - The CSI All-Share Power Index consists mainly of stocks from the power utility sector, with 98.92% of its components in power generation and grid industries [3][29]. - As of April 30, 2025, the index's P/E ratio is 16.65 and P/B ratio is 1.69, indicating relatively suitable valuation levels [31]. - The index has shown strong profitability and a high willingness to distribute dividends, with a 12-month dividend yield of 2.80% [35]. 3. Analysis of the GF CSI All-Share Power Utility ETF - The GF CSI All-Share Power Utility ETF was established on December 29, 2021, and aims to closely track the CSI All-Share Power Utility Index [45]. - As of May 14, 2025, the ETF has a scale of 3.489 billion yuan and a daily average trading volume of 193 million yuan, indicating good market liquidity [45]. - The fund is managed by an experienced manager with over 25 years in the securities industry [46].