宝城期货资讯早班车-20250521

1. Macro Data Overview - GDP in Q1 2025 increased by 5.4% year-on-year, the same as the previous quarter and higher than the same period last year [1] - In April 2025, the manufacturing PMI was 49.0%, down from 50.5% in the previous month and 50.4% in the same period last year [1] - The non-manufacturing PMI for business activities in April 2025 was 50.4%, down from 50.8% in the previous month and 51.2% in the same period last year [1] - Other economic indicators such as CPI, PPI, and social financing scale also showed corresponding changes [1] 2. Commodity Investment Reference Comprehensive - The central bank will implement a moderately loose monetary policy to support key areas of the real economy [2] - China's latest LPR has been lowered, and major banks have cut deposit and mortgage rates [2] - China's gold and platinum imports reached new highs in April [2] - The EU is considering zero quotas on Russian natural gas imports [2] Metals - The holdings of the world's largest gold ETF increased by 0.57 tons [3] Coal, Coke, Steel, and Minerals - Two coke ovens of Tangshan Guoyi Special Steel Co., Ltd. were shut down [4] Energy and Chemicals - The EU may propose to lower the price cap on Russian seaborne oil [5] - Macquarie Group expects OPEC+ to increase production in July [6] - Turkey discovered a new natural gas field [6] - Abu Dhabi National Oil Company reached agreements with US energy companies [6] - Kazakhstan's oil production increased in May [7] Agricultural Products - China's expected summer grain purchase volume in 2025 is about 200 billion jin [8] - Henan Province will implement policies to support grain production [8] - Gansu Province launched a drought emergency response [9] - South Korean flour mills bought US wheat [10] - Japan will not sacrifice its agriculture in trade agreements [10] 3. Financial News Compilation Open Market - The central bank conducted 357 billion yuan of 7-day reverse repurchase operations, resulting in a net injection of 177 billion yuan [11] - The Ministry of Finance issued treasury cash deposits with lower interest rates [11] Key News - China's LPR and bank deposit rates were lowered [12] - The central bank will support the real economy with a moderately loose monetary policy [12] - Fiscal revenue showed positive growth in April, and expenditure progress was fast [13] - Unemployment rates for different age groups were released [13] - A press conference on science and technology finance policies will be held [13] - The government will continue to support infrastructure and urban renewal projects [14][15] - The financial regulator will study a loan management method for urban renewal projects [14] - The scale of wealth management products exceeded 31 trillion yuan in May [16] - Views on the impact of interest rate cuts on bank net interest margins are divided [17] - Large - denomination certificates of deposit are losing popularity [17] - Insurance companies have raised over 74 billion yuan this year [17] - Japan's central bank's reduction in bond purchases affected the bond market [18] - There were various bond - related events and credit rating adjustments [18][19] Bond Market Summary - Treasury futures mostly declined slightly, and bond yields generally rose [20] - Exchange - traded bonds showed mixed performance [20] - Convertible bond indexes rose, and money market rates mostly declined [21] - Domestic and foreign bond yields showed different trends [23] Foreign Exchange Market - The on - shore RMB depreciated against the US dollar, and the US dollar index declined [24] Research Report Highlights - CICC believes short - end yields may be range - bound, while medium - and long - end yields may decline [25] - Guosheng believes the 4 - month economic data is strong, and mid - term bond rates have room to fall [25] Today's Reminders - Many bonds will be listed, issued, have payments, and pay principal and interest on May 21 [27] 4. Stock Market News - A - shares rose on Tuesday, with small - cap stocks active and the North Exchange 50 and micro - cap indexes hitting new highs [28] - The Hong Kong Hang Seng Index and related indexes rose, with biotech stocks performing strongly [29] - Shengsheng Guojian and Shengsheng Pharmaceutical signed a large - scale cooperation agreement with Pfizer [29][30] - Huaxi Bio responded to the "naming brokerage" incident [30] - Xinhua Insurance will participate in the establishment of Honghu Fund Phase III [30] - Bilibili's Q1 revenue increased, and it achieved profitability [30] - CATL's H - share issuance increased after the over - allotment option was exercised [31]