交银国际每日晨报-20250521

Group 1: Ctrip Group (携程集团) - The first quarter revenue met expectations, while profit exceeded market expectations by 9%. The second quarter revenue is expected to grow by 14%, with adjusted operating profit remaining flat year-on-year. The demand for leisure travel continues to grow rapidly. Due to the impact of tariff disturbances on business travel outbound demand in the second quarter, revenue and profit forecasts have been slightly adjusted, with the target price lowered from HKD 605 to HKD 591, maintaining a buy rating [1] Group 2: QFIN Technology (奇富科技) - The first quarter Non-GAAP net profit was CNY 1.926 billion, a year-on-year increase of 59.9%, slightly exceeding the upper limit of the company's previous guidance. The company expects a second quarter Non-GAAP net profit of CNY 1.75-1.85 billion. The significant year-on-year profit growth is mainly attributed to the increase in platform service revenue and a decrease in provisioning expenses [2][3] - The company anticipates a slight decrease in funding costs and expects the net take rate to increase year-on-year for the full year of 2025. The forecast for 2025 Non-GAAP net profit is expected to grow by 15%. As an industry-leading credit technology platform, the company balances risk and growth with diversified business models, providing attractive shareholder returns [3] Group 3: Global Indices and Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 23,681, reflecting a 1.52% increase, with a year-to-date increase of 15.89%. The Hang Seng China Enterprises Index also rose by 1.52%, with a year-to-date increase of 17.82% [4] - Major commodities showed varied performance, with Brent crude oil at USD 65.52, down 14.32% over three months, while gold futures rose by 9.83% [5] Group 4: Economic Data Releases - Upcoming economic data releases include the US Markit Manufacturing PMI expected at 50.2 and the US initial jobless claims expected at 229K. For China, the industrial value-added year-on-year growth is expected to be 7.7% [6]