CSI Solar(SH:688472) Shanxi Securities·2025-05-21 03:29Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 461.7 billion yuan in 2024, a decrease of 10.0% year-on-year, with a net profit of 22.5 billion yuan, down 22.6% year-on-year [4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 85.9 billion yuan, a decline of 10.5% year-on-year and 28.4% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 0.47 billion yuan, down 91.8% year-on-year and 83.8% quarter-on-quarter [4]. - The energy storage business showed strong growth, with a revenue of 97.4 billion yuan in 2024, up 420.8% year-on-year, and a gross margin of 30.8%, an increase of 13.7 percentage points [5]. - The company expects its energy storage business shipment scale to increase to 11-13 GWh in 2025, maintaining high growth [5]. - The photovoltaic module business generated a revenue of 314.8 billion yuan in 2024, down 25.6% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 12.8%, a decrease of 3.0 percentage points [6]. - The company is steadily advancing its overseas production capacity, with 5 GW of module capacity in the U.S. expected to ramp up in the second half of 2025 [6]. Financial Data Summary - The company’s projected EPS for 2025-2027 is 0.61, 0.82, and 1.15 respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 16.5, 12.1, and 8.7 [7]. - The revenue forecast for 2025 is 51.6 billion yuan, with a net profit of 2.2 billion yuan, reflecting a slight decrease of 0.5% year-on-year [11]. - The gross margin is expected to be 13.8% in 2025, with a net margin of 4.3% [11]. - The company’s total assets are projected to reach 73.6 billion yuan by 2025, with total liabilities of 48.4 billion yuan [12].