Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Outperform the Market" rating to the company for the first time [6] Core Viewpoints - The company is a leading provider of IoT digital solutions, with a focus on AIGC infrastructure, and has established a new growth curve through its intelligent computing business [1][3] - The company’s revenue from various segments in 2024 is projected to be 2.597 billion, 631 million, 151 million, and 301 million CNY, accounting for 64.4%, 15.6%, 3.7%, and 7.5% respectively [1][3] - The intelligent computing market is expected to grow rapidly, with the global AI server market projected to reach 135.2 billion USD in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 156% [3] Company Overview - The company, established in 2011, specializes in IoT hardware products and solutions, covering industrial IoT, ICT infrastructure, and smart terminals [14] - The company has a highly concentrated ownership structure, with the chairman and general manager holding 39.85% and 30.43% of shares respectively, totaling 70.28% [15] Business Segments - The company operates in three main business segments: industry terminals, ICT infrastructure, and industrial IoT [2] - The industry terminal business includes products like educational commercial displays and cloud terminals, benefiting from a post-pandemic replacement demand [2] - The ICT infrastructure segment is driven by the global demand for AI training and inference, with the global server market expected to reach 518.6 billion USD by 2029 [2][3] - The industrial IoT segment is anticipated to grow, with an expected shipment of 6.19 million units by 2028, corresponding to a CAGR of 13.1% from 2024 to 2028 [2] Financial Analysis - The company’s revenue is projected to grow steadily, with a forecasted revenue of 4.034 billion CNY in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 10.1% [5] - The net profit is expected to rebound significantly in 2024, reaching 125 million CNY, a year-on-year increase of 280.7% [5][29] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve to 16.9% in 2024, up by 5.0 percentage points from the previous year [30] Valuation and Investment Suggestion - The report estimates the company's reasonable valuation to be between 59.90 and 65.89 CNY, indicating a potential upside of 11% to 23% from the current price of 50.07 CNY [6][3] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be 1.20, 1.59, and 1.98 CNY for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][3]
智微智能（001339）：物联网数字化核心方案商，智算业务打开第二成长曲线