LPR和存款利率双降，资金面继续向宽，债市有所回调

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints On May 20, the liquidity continued to ease, with major repo rates declining. The reduction of deposit rates by large banks and the expected cut of LPR led to a correction in the bond market. The main indices of the convertible bond market closed higher, and most individual convertible bonds rose. The yields of U.S. Treasury bonds across different tenors showed divergent trends, and the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies also varied [1]. 3. Summary by Section 3.1 Bond Market News - Domestic News: The latest LPR was lowered on May 20, with the 1 - year LPR dropping to 3% and the 5 - year and above to 3.5%, both down 10 basis points. State - owned banks and some joint - stock banks cut deposit rates, and mortgage rates in Beijing and Shanghai were also reduced by 10 basis points. From January to April, the cumulative decline of national fiscal revenue continued to narrow, while fiscal expenditure accelerated. Additionally, multiple departments will support urban renewal, and the central bank emphasized stabilizing the economy [3][4][5]. - International News: The Reserve Bank of Australia cut the cash rate by 25 basis points to 3.85% on May 20, the lowest since May 2023. It also discussed the possibility of a 50 - basis - point cut. The bank predicted that in the worst - case scenario of the "trade war", the unemployment rate might rise to nearly 6%, inflation would drop to around 2% by the end of 2026, and GDP would decline by more than 3% by mid - 2027 [7]. - Commodities: On May 20, WTI June crude oil futures fell 0.21% to $62.56 per barrel, Brent July crude oil futures fell 0.24% to $65.38 per barrel, COMEX gold futures rose 1.82% to $3292.20 per ounce, and NYMEX natural gas prices rose 9.97% to $3.420 per ounce [8]. 3.2 Liquidity - Open - Market Operations: On May 20, the central bank conducted 3570 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations at a fixed - rate and quantity - tender method, with an operating rate of 1.40%. With 1800 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, the net capital injection was 1770 billion yuan [10][11]. - Funding Rates: On May 20, the liquidity continued to ease, and major repo rates declined. DR001 dropped 2.11 basis points to 1.516%, and DR007 dropped 1.58 basis points to 1.586% [12]. 3.3 Bond Market Dynamics - Interest - Rate Bonds: - Yield Trends: On May 20, due to the reduction of deposit rates by large banks and the expected cut of LPR, the bond market corrected. As of 20:00, the yield of the 10 - year Treasury bond active bond 250004 rose 1.10 basis points to 1.6660%, and the yield of the 10 - year China Development Bank bond active bond 250205 rose 1.45 basis points to 1.7345% [15]. - Bond Tendering: Information on the tendering of several bonds such as 25Guokai03 (Zeng17) was provided, including details like term, issuance scale, winning yield, and multiple over - subscriptions [17]. - Credit Bonds: - Secondary - Market Transaction Anomalies: On May 20, two industrial bonds and one urban investment bond had transaction price deviations of over 10%. "24Chanrong02" fell over 14%, "H1Rongchuang03" rose over 25%, and "20ChangzhouBinjiangGreenBond" fell over 18% [17][18]. - Credit Bond Events: There were events such as Rong盛 Development planning to hold a bondholder meeting, and杉杉 Group's creditor's meeting passing relevant proposals [19]. - Convertible Bonds: - Equity and Convertible Bond Indices: On May 20, the A - share market and the convertible bond market both rose. The Shanghai Composite Index, Shenzhen Component Index, and ChiNext Index rose 0.38%, 0.77%, and 0.77% respectively. The CSI Convertible Bond Index, Shanghai Convertible Bond Index, and Shenzhen Convertible Bond Index rose 0.26%, 0.23%, and 0.28% respectively [20]. - Convertible Bond Tracking: Some convertible bonds were expected to trigger downward revisions of conversion prices or meet early - redemption conditions [26]. - Overseas Bond Markets: - U.S. Bond Market: On May 20, the yields of U.S. Treasury bonds across different tenors showed divergent trends. The 2 - year yield remained at 3.97%, while the 10 - year yield rose 2 basis points to 4.48%. The yield spreads between 2 - year and 10 - year, and 5 - year and 30 - year Treasury bonds widened [22][23]. - European Bond Market: On May 20, the yields of 10 - year government bonds in major European economies showed divergent trends. The yields of German, Italian, and British 10 - year government bonds rose, while those of France and Spain remained unchanged [25]. - Chinese - Issued U.S. Dollar Bonds: The daily price changes of Chinese - issued U.S. dollar bonds as of May 20 were presented, showing the top 10 gainers and losers in terms of daily price changes [28].