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高盛住房市场活动指数5月11日当周,混合指标使指数持平于4
Goldman Sachs·2025-05-21 04:30

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to several companies, including D.R. Horton Inc. (Buy, $124.93), Installed Building Products Inc. (Buy, $161.63), Meritage Homes Corp. (Buy, $67.87), and TopBuild Corp. (Buy, $295.50) [42]. Core Insights - The housing market activity scale remains flat at 4 for the week of May 11, which is 16% below the long-term average and down 7% year over year [5][10]. - New construction is expected to maintain a relative advantage over repair and remodel (R&R) activities, with building product companies like IBP and BLD being well-positioned [3]. - Spec-focused homebuilders such as MTH and DHI are viewed positively [3]. Summary by Sections Housing Market Activity - The index held at 4, indicating mixed indicators with a 2% increase in purchase applications and a 3% gain in home sales compared to the previous week [5][11]. - The 30-year mortgage rate increased by 5 basis points to 6.81%, contributing to the uncertainty in the housing market [24]. Market Dynamics - Active listings increased by 14% year over year, although they remain 14% below the 2019 average [15]. - The median sale price rose by 2% year over year, while 40% of homes were off the market within two weeks, an increase from 37% in the same week of 2019 [15][21]. Mortgage Market Update - Total mortgage applications rose by 27% year over year, with purchase applications up 18% year over year [33]. - Refinancing applications increased by 44% year over year, indicating a robust refinancing market despite the rising mortgage rates [24][35].