Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a potential upside of 15% to 35% [6][11]. Core Insights - The film industry is expected to recover, with significant growth in both the ticketing platform (Damai) and IP derivative businesses. The company reported a FY25 revenue of RMB 6.702 billion, a year-on-year increase of 33%, primarily driven by the rapid growth of Damai and IP derivatives [6]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for FY25 was RMB 364 million, up 27.7% year-on-year, slightly below expectations due to an investment impairment of RMB 428 million related to Bona Film Group [6]. - Adjusted EBITA for FY25 was RMB 809 million, reflecting a 61% year-on-year increase, slightly exceeding expectations [6]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company operates in the media industry, with a current H-share price of HK$ 0.61 as of May 20, 2025, and a market capitalization of RMB 134.44 billion [2]. Business Segments - The revenue breakdown for FY25 shows: - Film technology and investment production and distribution: 40.5% - Damai (ticketing platform): 30.7% - IP derivative business: 21.4% - Series production: 7.5% [3]. Financial Performance - FY25 revenue was RMB 6.702 billion, with a gross profit margin impacted by a decline in film production revenue, which fell by 10% year-on-year to RMB 2.712 billion [8]. - The Damai business saw a remarkable revenue increase of 236% year-on-year, reaching RMB 2.057 billion, driven by the booming live performance market [8]. - The IP derivative business generated RMB 1.433 billion in revenue, a 73% increase year-on-year, supported by a significant rise in retail sales of licensed IP products [8]. Future Projections - The company forecasts net profits for FY2026, FY2027, and FY2028 to be RMB 823 million, RMB 1.008 billion, and RMB 1.205 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 126.3%, 22.5%, and 19.6% [10]. - The projected EPS for the same years is RMB 0.03, RMB 0.03, and RMB 0.04, with corresponding P/E ratios of 20, 17, and 14 [10].
阿里影业：影视行业有望触底回升，大麦及IP业务双双高速增长-20250521