Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate-A" rating for the company [3][8]. Core Views - The company experienced a decline in performance due to slower implementation of downstream solution projects, increased upfront expenses, and depreciation from new bases [4][5]. - Despite short-term pressures in various sectors, the company is expected to benefit from its leading position in smart energy and the potential growth in intelligent manufacturing and smart transportation [6][8]. Financial Performance Summary - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 357 million, a year-on-year decrease of 18.79%, and a net profit of 33 million, down 69.98% [3][9]. - For Q1 2025, revenue was 81 million, showing a year-on-year increase of 7.01%, while net profit was 8 million, down 48.44% [3][9]. - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 411 million, 535 million, and 660 million respectively, with expected growth rates of 15.2%, 30.2%, and 23.4% [9][12]. Business Segment Analysis - The company’s revenue from various application scenarios in 2024 included smart energy (191.27 million, +8.1%), smart transportation (61.30 million, -20.6%), industrial internet (36.60 million, -62.2%), and smart city (27.05 million, -47.4%) [4][5]. - The industrial internet segment faced challenges due to a slowdown in digital transformation orders from the manufacturing sector [4][5]. Strategic Focus - The company is transitioning from a single communication equipment provider to a customized solution provider, with significant investments in R&D for advanced technologies such as TSN, edge computing, and AI [5][6]. - The company aims to leverage opportunities in AI, robotics, and low-altitude industries to open new growth points [7][8]. Profitability and Valuation - The projected net profit for 2025 is 44 million, with a year-on-year growth of 35.3%, and EPS is expected to be 0.40 [9][12]. - The report indicates a PE ratio of 53.9 for 2025, decreasing to 16.8 by 2027, reflecting an improving valuation outlook [9][12].
三旺通信:业务短期承压,新兴行业有望迎来催化-20250521