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上海瀚讯(300762):2024卫星业务收入超1.5亿,2025G60星链发射数量大幅增

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-B" rating for the company, indicating an expected price increase of over 15% compared to the benchmark index [3][8]. Core Views - The satellite business is showing significant results, with a competitive advantage as the company participates in the construction of the "Qianfan" satellite constellation, which aims to provide global network coverage by 2030 [4][6]. - The military communication industry is gradually recovering, with the company positioned well in new fields such as military 5G and broadband data links, leading to a positive outlook for future growth [6][7]. - Effective cost control measures are in place, with expectations of turning profitable in the coming year as the satellite business scales up [8]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 353 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.0%, and a net profit of -124 million yuan, improving by 34.7% year-on-year [10]. - The forecast for 2025 estimates a revenue of 853 million yuan, representing a significant year-on-year growth of 141.3%, with a projected net profit of 136 million yuan [10]. - The company's gross margin is expected to stabilize around 42.0% in 2025, with a net profit margin turning positive at 15.9% [10]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has secured multiple contracts, including a significant project with Shanghai Yanshin for an integrated gateway station system, indicating strong market demand and operational capabilities [5][6]. - The company is expected to supply a substantial portion of the payloads for the Qianfan satellite constellation, which will contribute to rapid revenue growth [4][8]. Future Outlook - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 1.36 billion yuan, 2.82 billion yuan, and 4.44 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, reflecting a robust growth trajectory [8][10]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 0.22 yuan in 2025 to 0.71 yuan by 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [10].