SHANYING INTERNATIONAL(SH:600567) Huachuang Securities·2025-05-21 09:03Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Recommendation" rating to the company, with a target price of 1.96 CNY per share [1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 29.23 billion CNY in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.4% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of -0.45 billion CNY, indicating a shift from profit to loss [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.77 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.5%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders was only 0.03 billion CNY, down 16.0% year-on-year [1]. - The company is focusing on optimizing its debt structure and has successfully completed the market-oriented conversion of its bonds, enhancing its financial strength and risk resistance [1]. Financial Summary - 2024 Financial Performance: - Total revenue: 29.23 billion CNY - Net profit: -0.45 billion CNY - Gross margin: 7.4%, down 2.5 percentage points year-on-year [1][7]. - 2025 Financial Projections: - Expected total revenue: 29.98 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 2.6% - Expected net profit: 0.216 billion CNY, with a growth rate of 147.8% [1][7]. - Key Financial Ratios: - Price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) for 2025 is projected at 45 times, decreasing to 22 times by 2027 [1][7]. - Price-to-book ratio (P/B) is set at 0.70 times for 2025 [1]. Business Segments - Paper Production: - The company reported a revenue of 19.59 billion CNY in 2024, with a year-on-year increase of 1.8% [1]. - The production capacity is expected to exceed 9 million tons following the completion of a new production line [1]. - Packaging: - The packaging segment's revenue is projected to decline by 2.6% to 6.90 billion CNY in 2024, with a focus on enhancing service capabilities for major clients [1]. - Trade: - The trade segment is expected to generate a revenue of 2.01 billion CNY in 2024, down 5.6% year-on-year [1]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is strategically exiting non-core businesses to strengthen its financial position, including the successful divestment of stakes in non-core assets [1]. - The debt ratio as of Q1 2025 stands at 68.8%, a decrease of 2.6 percentage points from the previous year [1].