Report Summary 1. Reported Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The adult incontinence products industry in China is at the end of the introduction period and the beginning of the explosion period, with a penetration rate of about 8%-10%, and there is still significant room for growth compared to international markets [19]. - The long - term care insurance (both TOG and TOC) is expected to promote the industry. The TOG part may lead to a penetration rate of up to 50% within 10 years, and the TOC part shows an increasing demand for brand - building [20][22]. - Reliable Co., Ltd. has made strategic adjustments in product and channel planning, aiming to become the absolute number one in the Chinese adult incontinence field [22]. - The price of adult incontinence products in China is in a state of chaos, and the price is expected to increase with the advancement of long - term care insurance and strengthened market supervision [23][24]. - The industry concentration is increasing, and domestic brands like Reliable have the potential to replicate the success of overseas leading brands [25]. - Although the company's business has been under short - term pressure, it has optimized profitability through cost reduction and efficiency improvement, and is expected to achieve significant growth in the next 3 years [26]. 3. Summary by Questions Question 1: Growth level and industry ceiling of the adult incontinence products industry - The industry in China is at the end of the introduction period and the beginning of the explosion period, with a penetration rate of 8% - 10%, while in Europe, America, and Japan, the penetration rates are 60% and 80% respectively [19]. - The potential of the medium - and mild - incontinence population has not been fully explored [19]. Question 2: The promoting effect of long - term care insurance on the industry - TOG: Referring to Japan's experience, China's long - term care insurance is expected to lead to a penetration rate of up to 50% within 10 years after national promotion [20]. - TOC: The current buyers are mainly relatives of the elderly, with a high proportion of online channels. There is an increasing demand for brand - building and user - service enhancement [22]. Question 3: Product and channel planning in the next three years - Channels: Shifted from dealer - and store - based sales to TOB business, entered hospitals and elderly care institutions, and established a user - operation department for online business [22]. - Brands: Launched the Anhu shi brand targeting cost - effective consumers, and strengthened the positions of Reliable and Xishoubao [22]. - TOG business: Seize government procurement opportunities including long - term care insurance [22]. - Supply chain: Invested in companies like Guangxi Hanggang three years ago to form a closed - loop supply chain [22]. Question 4: Price level and price - increasing potential - The price band in China is chaotic, including high - end, mid - high - end, mid - low - end, and ultra - low - end products. About 210 million pieces of sub - standard products were exposed in 315 this year, accounting for nearly 30% of the market [23]. - In Japan, there are only high - end and mid - high - end products. The price in China is expected to increase with the advancement of long - term care insurance and strengthened market supervision [24]. Question 5: Current competitive landscape and brand concentration - In Europe, America, and Japan, the market share of the first - ranked brand exceeds 50%. Reliable is the leading domestic brand and plans to expand overseas [25]. - The industry concentration is increasing, and domestic brands have the potential to follow the path of overseas leading brands [25]. Question 6: Company's profitability and future growth points - The company's business has been under short - term pressure due to factors such as a decrease in the elderly population and birth rate [26]. - Profitability has been optimized through cost reduction and efficiency improvement, and the optimization of the mother - and - baby segment [26]. - The company is expected to achieve significant growth in the next 3 years with the implementation of long - term care insurance policies, enhanced brand recognition, and overseas expansion [26].
可靠股份分析师会议-20250521