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国信证券晨会纪要-20250522
Guoxin Securities·2025-05-22 02:00

Macro and Strategy - April fiscal data shows tax revenue returning to positive growth at 1.9% YoY, while general expenditure growth accelerated to 12.9% YoY [8][9] - Key tax categories showed mixed results, with personal income tax growing significantly at 9% YoY, while corporate income tax declined to 4% YoY [8][9] Textile and Apparel Industry - Textile manufacturing continues to benefit from inventory optimization and order rebound, with revenue growth of 13.7% YoY in 2024, while apparel and home textiles saw a slowdown to 1.0% YoY [9][10] - In Q1 2025, textile manufacturing growth slowed to 8.2% YoY, while apparel and home textiles faced a 5.1% decline in revenue [9][10] - Major companies in manufacturing, such as Huayi and Shenzhou, reported strong orders and better profitability, while sports brands showed resilience compared to casual wear [9][10] Pharmaceutical Industry - Q1 2025 saw overall revenue growth slow for overseas pharmaceutical companies, with Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk showing significant growth driven by GLP-1 drugs [15][16] - The U.S. drug pricing reform and macroeconomic uncertainties are impacting revenue forecasts for major pharmaceutical firms [15][16] Computer Industry - Major domestic companies like Alibaba and Tencent are significantly increasing capital expenditures, with Alibaba planning to invest over 380 billion RMB in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years [17][18] - There is a growing demand for computing power rental services, with several companies announcing related orders [17][18] Automotive Industry - April 2025 saw a total vehicle production and sales of 2.619 million and 2.590 million units respectively, with a year-on-year increase of 8.9% and 9.8% [19][20] - New energy vehicles accounted for 47.3% of total new vehicle sales, with production and sales growth of 43.8% and 44.2% YoY [19][20] - The market is witnessing a shift towards autonomous driving technologies, with Robotaxi commercial deployment accelerating [20][21] Building Materials Industry - The recent government policy is expected to accelerate urban renewal projects, benefiting local construction and decorative renovation companies [22][23] - Cement prices have seen a slight decline, while demand remains weak, indicating a cautious market outlook [23][24] Smart IoT Industry - The company focuses on IoT solutions and is expanding into AI infrastructure, with significant revenue contributions from its various business segments [26][27] - The global AI server market is projected to grow rapidly, driven by increasing demand for AI training and inference [28] Travel Industry - The company reported a 16.2% increase in revenue for Q1 2025, with strong growth in domestic hotel bookings and international travel [29][30] - The international platform is experiencing rapid growth, benefiting from favorable policies and increased travel demand [30][31] Gaming and E-commerce Industry - The company achieved a 30% revenue growth in Q1 2025, driven by strong performance in e-commerce and digital financial services [33][34] - The gaming segment also saw significant growth, with a notable increase in user engagement and revenue from popular titles [36][37]