中际旭创(300308):一季度盈利能力环比改善,2025海外算力依旧保持旺盛需求

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy-A" rating for the company [1][8] Core Views - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and net profit for 2024, with revenue reaching 23.86 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 122.6%, and net profit at 5.17 billion yuan, up 137.9% [1][10] - The first quarter of 2025 showed continued growth, with revenue of 6.67 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 37.8%, and net profit of 1.58 billion yuan, up 56.8% year-on-year [2][10] - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing demand for AI infrastructure and the increasing bandwidth requirements for AI chips, projecting net profits of 8.35 billion yuan, 10.72 billion yuan, and 13.31 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [8][10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a gross margin of 33.8% and a net margin of 22.5%, both showing improvement due to the increased shipment of high-end products [1][10] - The first quarter of 2025 saw a net profit margin increase of 2 percentage points, attributed to a higher proportion of high-end products and improved cost efficiency [2][3] Market Position and Growth - The company is positioned to be a leading supplier in the global silicon photonics module market by 2025, surpassing previous leaders like Intel [4][8] - The domestic market is also showing strong growth, with a projected revenue of 3.15 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 91.3% [7][8] Production Capacity and Demand - The company plans to ramp up production capacity significantly, with a target of 20.88 million optical modules in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 113.7% [3][8] - The company’s fixed asset value reached 5.91 billion yuan in the first quarter of 2025, indicating robust demand for inventory [3][8] Future Outlook - The report anticipates a continued increase in capital expenditures from major clients like Microsoft, META, Google, and Amazon, which are expected to rise by 37% to 30.55 billion USD in 2025 [3][8] - The company is also expanding into automotive optical electronics, with a revenue of 760 million yuan in 2024, a significant increase of 128.1% [7][8]