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白电推荐观点更新:近期高温利好旺季空调,出口有望延续稳健
Orient Securities·2025-05-22 09:43

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Positive" outlook for the home appliance industry [6] Core Viewpoints - The first quarter results for home appliances generally exceeded expectations, with domestic sales expected to benefit from policy support. There is a notable performance differentiation in high-end positioning and cost-effectiveness. The air conditioning peak season is anticipated to benefit from higher temperatures and lower inventory levels, making the demand for home appliances in the second quarter promising [4][9] - In April, the export of white goods showed steady growth, indicating potential in emerging markets. The disruptions in exports to the U.S. are also expected to ease [4][9] Summary by Sections Investment Recommendations and Targets - The report suggests focusing on quality white goods leaders that benefit from ongoing domestic policies and proactive overseas expansion, such as Midea Group (000333, not rated), Haier Smart Home (600690, Buy), and Hisense Home Appliances (000921, not rated) [4] - It recommends companies that are reshaping their market share in mature overseas markets and have short-term global supply chain advantages, such as Hisense Visual (600060, Overweight) and Ousheng Electric (301187, Buy) [4] - The report also highlights small appliance companies that are expected to benefit from national subsidy policies in the short term and enjoy demand dividends from emerging appliance categories in the medium to long term, recommending Stone Technology (688169, Buy) and Bear Electric (002959, Overweight) [4] Market Trends - Since May, many regions have experienced average maximum temperatures higher than in previous years, positively impacting air conditioning sales. The demand for air conditioning is closely related to temperature, with a significant increase in sales expected during the peak season from April to July [9] - In April, air conditioning exports reached 7.51 million units, a year-on-year increase of 12.1%, while washing machine exports grew by 10.9%. The export of refrigerators saw a slight decline [9][20] - The report indicates that the risk of a price war in the air conditioning market is manageable, with efficiency improvements and high-end upgrades occurring simultaneously. The average prices for air conditioners in April were 2,609 yuan online and 4,418 yuan offline, showing a slight decrease and increase respectively [9]