Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The upcoming product launch will feature the SoC chip "Xuanjie o1," making the company the fourth globally to release a self-developed 3nm mobile chip, following Apple, Qualcomm, and MediaTek. The company has invested over 13.5 billion RMB in R&D for this chip as of April 2025, with a projected investment of over 6 billion RMB for the year [1][2] - The launch of the Xiaomi 15S Pro, equipped with the Xuanjie o1 chip, is expected to enhance product competitiveness in the AI era, similar to the differentiation seen in Apple and Huawei products that utilize self-developed chips and operating systems [1] - The YU7 launch is anticipated to generate significant pre-orders, with expectations of over 150,000 orders within 24 hours, given the SUV market's larger size compared to the sedan market [1] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 481.84 billion RMB, 636.48 billion RMB, and 716.47 billion RMB, with year-on-year growth rates of 31.7%, 32.1%, and 12.6% respectively. Adjusted net profits are expected to be 41.64 billion RMB, 61.34 billion RMB, and 65.60 billion RMB, with growth rates of 52.9%, 47.3%, and 6.9% [1][2] - The company is valued at a reasonable market capitalization of 1.46 trillion HKD, with a target price of 56.28 HKD per share, based on a 20x PE for its main business and a 3x PS for its smart vehicle segment [1] Financial Summary - The company's projected revenue for 2025 is 481.84 billion RMB, with a year-on-year growth of 32%. The adjusted net profit for the same year is expected to be 32.20 billion RMB, reflecting a growth of 36% [2][7] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated at 1.24 RMB, with a P/E ratio of 40.59 [2][7] - The total assets are projected to reach 494.41 billion RMB by 2025, with total liabilities of 233.50 billion RMB, resulting in a debt-to-equity ratio of 47.23% [7]
小米集团-W:小米战略新品发布会前瞻——小米集团点评报告-20250522