Workflow
开源晨会-20250522
KAIYUAN SECURITIES·2025-05-22 14:13

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive shift in fiscal data, indicating an improvement in economic conditions and policy direction, with tax revenue growth returning to positive territory for the first time this year [6][9]. - The report emphasizes the recovery of domestic markets for specific companies, particularly in the medical sector, with significant growth potential in overseas markets [14][21]. Summary by Sections Total Research - Fiscal data released on May 20, 2025, shows a year-on-year tax revenue increase of 1.9% in April, marking the first month of positive growth this year [6]. - Non-tax revenue growth slowed to 1.66%, the lowest in nearly a year, indicating a significant easing of local government financial pressures [7]. - Land transfer revenue saw a 4.27% increase, the highest growth rate since 2021, suggesting a normalization in land sales [7]. Expenditure Side - General fiscal expenditure increased by 5.8% in April 2025, significantly above the planned target of 4.4% for the year, indicating strong fiscal spending [8]. - Government fund expenditures surged by 45%, the highest growth rate since 2022, reflecting a normalization of government spending [8]. Economic Recovery - The report suggests that the ongoing "wide fiscal" policy is crucial for driving economic recovery, with improvements in the business environment for enterprises [9]. - The anticipated acceleration in fiscal spending, particularly following the April 25 Politburo meeting's directives, is expected to further boost economic activity [9]. Company Insights: Mindray Medical (300760.SZ) - The company is poised for a domestic market recovery in 2025, with a projected revenue of CNY 367.26 billion in 2024, reflecting a 5.14% increase [14]. - The company plans to distribute dividends of CNY 6.79 billion and CNY 17.10 billion for 2024 and 2025, respectively, with a payout ratio of 6% and 65% [14]. - The overseas market is performing well, with the in-vitro diagnostics (IVD) segment showing a revenue increase of 10.82% [15]. Company Insights: Lifesun Pharmaceutical (002393.SZ) - The company received over CNY 300 million in dividends from its subsidiary, enhancing its financial position [18]. - Lifesun's revenue for 2024 is projected at CNY 13.36 billion, a 15.88% year-on-year increase, despite a decline in net profit due to adjustments in its marketing strategy [20]. - The company is focusing on a dual strategy of industrial operations and capital management to drive growth [20]. Company Insights: 3SBio (01530.HK) - The company has signed an agreement with Pfizer for the global development and commercialization of its PD-1/VEGF dual-specific antibody, SSGJ-707, which could yield up to USD 60.5 billion in milestone payments [21]. - SSGJ-707 has shown promising results in clinical trials, with plans for further studies in various cancer treatments [22]. - The company maintains a strong growth outlook, with projected net profits of CNY 23.28 billion, CNY 26.12 billion, and CNY 29.38 billion for 2025-2027 [21].