HTSC·2025-05-23 01:18Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of $23.11 [6][4]. Core Insights - The company reported Q1 2025 revenue of 1.923 billion RMB, slightly exceeding the forecast of 1.91 billion RMB, with a year-over-year growth of 12.9%. Adjusted net profit reached 692 million RMB, surpassing the prediction of 617 million RMB, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 76.2% [1][2]. - The recruitment demand is gradually recovering, with the blue-collar segment accounting for over 45% of new users, contributing to an increase in revenue share to over 39% [2]. - The company has successfully reduced its expense ratio, with a gross margin of 83.8% and a significant decrease in sales expense ratio by 8.5 percentage points year-over-year [3]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - The revenue forecast for FY25-FY27 has been slightly revised upwards to 8.18 billion RMB, 9.38 billion RMB, and 10.67 billion RMB respectively, with adjusted net profit estimates increased to 3.32 billion RMB, 3.5 billion RMB, and 3.96 billion RMB [4][11]. - The company expects Q2 2025 revenue to be between 2.05 billion RMB and 2.08 billion RMB, indicating a year-over-year growth of 6.9% to 8.5% [2]. Financial Metrics - The company achieved an adjusted operating profit of 692 million RMB in Q1 2025, corresponding to a profit margin of 36%, which is better than expected [3]. - The report projects an adjusted operating profit of 3.07 billion RMB for the year 2025 [3][12]. Valuation - Based on the DCF valuation method, the target price is set at $23.11, reflecting a perpetual growth assumption of 3% and a WACC of 8.95% [4][13].