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原油:单边观望,正套轻仓持有
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo·2025-05-23 01:34

Report Summary 1. Investment Rating - Crude oil: Hold a light long position in the calendar spread and stay on the sidelines for single-sided trading [1] 2. Core View - The report provides the latest prices and price changes of international crude oil futures, and also lists a series of global economic data and industry news that may affect the crude oil market [1][2][3] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs International Crude Oil Futures Prices - WTI June crude oil futures closed down $0.37/barrel, a decrease of 0.60%, at $61.20/barrel [1] - Brent July crude oil futures closed down $0.47/barrel, a decrease of 0.72%, at $64.44/barrel [1] - SC2507 crude oil futures closed down 5.60 yuan/barrel, a decrease of 1.21%, at 456.90 yuan/barrel [1] Global Economic Data - China's Swift RMB share in global payments in April was 3.5%, down from 4.13% previously [2] - China's year-to-date national power generation installed capacity annual rate in April was 15.9%, up from 14.6% previously [2] - China's year-to-date national power generation installed capacity in April was 349,000 million kilowatts, up from 343,081 million kilowatts previously [2] - France's May manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 49.5, expected 48.9, previous value 48.7 [2] - Germany's May manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 48.8, expected 48.9, previous value 48.4 [2] - Eurozone's May manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 49.4, expected 49.3, previous value 49 [2] - Germany's May IFO business climate index was 87.5, expected 87.4, previous value 86.9 [2] - UK's May services PMI preliminary value was 50.2, expected 50, previous value 49 [2] - UK's May manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 45.1, expected 46, previous value 45.4 [2] - UK's May CBI industrial order difference was -30, expected -24, previous value -26 [2] - US initial jobless claims for the week ended May 17 were 227,000, the lowest since the week ended April 19, market expected 230,000 [2] - US May S&P Global manufacturing PMI preliminary value was 52.3, expected 50.1, previous value 50.2 [2] - US May S&P Global services PMI preliminary value was 52.3, expected 50.8, previous value 50.8 [2] - US April existing home sales annualized total was 4 million units, expected 4.1 million units, previous value 4.02 million units [2] - India's crude oil imports in April decreased 1.0% year-on-year to 21.2 million tons, and gasoline exports increased 3.8% year-on-year to 1.2 million tons [2] Industry News - Israel is preparing to quickly strike Iran's nuclear facilities if the US-Iran negotiations break down [2] - OPEC+ is discussing whether to agree to another ultra-large-scale production increase at the June 1 meeting, and a 411,000 barrels per day increase in daily output in July is one of the options under discussion [2][3] - The Iraqi oil minister hopes that oil prices will rebound in the second half of this year and has reservations about the energy agreement signed with the Kurdish region [3] - Saudi Arabia's domestic refinery crude oil processing volume in March increased by 323,000 barrels per day to 2.944 million barrels per day [3] - Saudi Arabia's crude oil production in March increased by 10,000 barrels per day to 8.957 million barrels per day [3] - Saudi Arabia's petroleum product demand in March increased by 223,000 barrels per day to 2.218 million barrels per day [3] - Saudi Arabia's petroleum product exports in March increased by 145,000 barrels per day to 1.553 million barrels per day [3] Trend Intensity - Crude oil trend intensity: 0, indicating a neutral view [4]