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库存维持低位,市场存在支撑
Hua Tai Qi Huo·2025-05-23 05:57

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2) Core View of the Report The asphalt market has certain support with low inventory. The fundamentals of asphalt are performing well. Supply growth is limited as some refineries stop producing asphalt or switch to producing residual oil, and the overall operating rate may decline again. On the demand side, it is gradually improving seasonally, although rainfall restricts project construction in some areas and limits the growth rate. The inventory accumulation rate is lower than the seasonal average, and the downstream has a good acceptance of low prices [1]. 3) Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis - On May 22, the closing price of the main asphalt futures contract BU2507 in the afternoon session was 3,539 yuan/ton, up 16 yuan/ton or 0.45% from the previous settlement price. The open interest was 187,690 lots, a net increase of 14,254 lots, and the trading volume was 233,597 lots, a net increase of 44,922 lots [1]. - The spot settlement prices of heavy - traffic asphalt from Zhuochuang Information are as follows: 3,700 - 4,086 yuan/ton in Northeast China, 3,450 - 3,800 yuan/ton in Shandong, 3,400 - 3,430 yuan/ton in South China, and 3,500 - 3,590 yuan/ton in East China. The spot price of asphalt in North China rose slightly yesterday, while prices in other regions remained stable [1]. Strategy - Unilateral: Range - bound. - Inter - delivery spread: Go long on the BU2507 - 2509 spread at low levels (positive spread trading). - Inter - commodity spread: None. - Spot - futures: None. - Options: None [2]