ZTT(SH:600522) Huachuang Securities·2025-05-23 09:02Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the company with a target price of 15.6 yuan [1]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 48.055 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.63%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 8.94% to 2.838 billion yuan. For Q1 2025, the revenue was 9.756 billion yuan, up 18.37% year-on-year, with a net profit of 628 million yuan, down 1.33% [1][3]. - The company is expected to benefit from a favorable wind power market in 2025, with significant growth anticipated in its energy business overseas. The company has a substantial backlog of orders amounting to approximately 31.2 billion yuan, with marine series orders at about 13.4 billion yuan [1][8]. Financial Summary - 2024 Financial Performance: - Total revenue: 48,055 million yuan - Year-on-year growth: 6.6% - Net profit: 2,838 million yuan - Year-on-year decline: 8.9% - Earnings per share (EPS): 0.83 yuan [3][9] - 2025 Financial Projections: - Expected total revenue: 57,514 million yuan - Expected net profit: 3,549 million yuan - Expected EPS: 1.04 yuan - Projected PE ratio: 13 [3][9] - 2026 and 2027 Projections: - 2026 expected revenue: 59,521 million yuan - 2027 expected revenue: 61,945 million yuan - 2026 expected net profit: 3,990 million yuan - 2027 expected net profit: 4,392 million yuan - EPS for 2026: 1.17 yuan, for 2027: 1.29 yuan [3][9]. Business Segments - The company’s revenue from the power sector was 19.785 billion yuan in 2024, showing an increase of 18.18%. The marine business revenue was 3.644 billion yuan, which remained stable, while the optical communication segment saw a decline of 11.19% to 8.094 billion yuan [1][8]. - The power segment contributed significantly to the gross profit, with a gross margin of 15.15%, while the marine segment's performance was affected by operational issues [1][8]. Market Outlook - The company is positioned as a leading player in the international submarine cable market, with expectations of a surge in domestic submarine cable deliveries in 2025. The company has secured orders for European offshore wind cables, which are expected to be delivered starting in 2025 [1][8]. - The international market demand is primarily driven by offshore wind power, power interconnection, and marine oil and gas sectors, with notable growth in Europe and the Asia-Pacific region [1][8].