Orient Securities·2025-05-23 09:40Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company is expected to see growth driven by the recovery of Blizzard games and the upcoming launches of mobile games such as "Marvel Secret Wars" and "Destiny Stars" [3] - The profit forecast for the company from 2025 to 2027 is adjusted to 36 billion, 38.1 billion, and 41.5 billion CNY respectively, reflecting an increase in gross margin and investment income while reducing the sales expense ratio [3] Financial Summary - The company's revenue for 2023 is projected at 103.468 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 7.23% [4] - Operating profit for 2023 is estimated at 27.709 billion CNY, showing a significant year-on-year increase of 41.17% [4] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2023 is forecasted at 29.417 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 44.64% [4] - The earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is expected to be 9.29 CNY [4] - The gross margin is projected to be 60.95% for 2023, with a gradual increase to 64.59% by 2027 [4] - The net margin is expected to be 28.43% in 2023, with a slight increase to 31.00% by 2027 [4] Revenue Breakdown - Total revenue for Q1 2025 is reported at 28.829 billion CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 7.4% [9] - Revenue from games and related value-added services in Q1 2025 is 24.048 billion CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 12.1% [9] - Mobile game revenue in Q1 2025 is 15.359 billion CNY, showing a year-on-year decline of 4.4% [9] - PC game revenue in Q1 2025 is 8.088 billion CNY, with a substantial year-on-year increase of 85% [9] Valuation - The target price for the company's stock is set at 210.13 HKD, with a current share price of 186.6 HKD [5] - The company is valued using a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) approach, with the gaming segment accounting for 94% of the total valuation [11]